Dr. Jeff Masters' WunderBlog

Summer in March peaks in U.S. and Canada; record late snow in Oregon
Posted by: Dr. Jeff Masters, 1:17 PM GMT on March 22, 2012 +37
A spring heat wave like no other in U.S. and Canadian history peaked in intensity yesterday, during its tenth day. Since record keeping began in the late 1800s, there have never been so many temperature records broken for spring warmth in a one-week period--and the margins by which some of the records were broken yesterday were truly astonishing. Wunderground's weather historian, Christopher C. Burt, commented to me yesterday, "it's almost like science fiction at this point." A few of the more remarkable records from yesterday:

Pellston, MI: record high broken by 32°F
Pellston, Michigan in the Northern Lower Peninsula is called "Michigan's Icebox", since it frequently records the coldest temperatures in the state, and in the entire nation. But the past five days, Pellston has set five consecutive records for hottest March day. Yesterday's 85° reading broke the previous record for the date (53° in 2007) by a ridiculous 32°, and was an absurd 48°F above average.

Low temperatures beat the previous record high for the date at two stations
The low temperature at Marquette, Michigan was 52° yesterday, which was 3° warmer than the previous record high for the date! The low at Mt. Washington, NH yesterday (44°) also beat the previous record high for the date (43°.)

Canadian cities break all-time April record for warmth in March
Not only was yesterday the warmest March day in recorded history for many of Canada's major cities, it was also warmer than any April day at St. John, New Brunswick. The city hit 25.4°C (78°F.) Not only did this crush the record high for March (previous record: 17.5°C), it is well above any temperature ever measured in April (extreme April temperature on record: 22.8°C.) Halifax, Nova Scotia hit 25.8°C yesterday, beating their all-time March record of 25.6°, and falling just short of their all-time April record of 26.3°C, set on April 30, 2004. As of 1 pm today, Halifax was at 27°C, beating their all-time April record. Other major cities in Canada that set all-time warmest March records yesterday included Ottawa (27.4°C), Montreal (25.8°C), Windsor (27.8°C), Hamilton (25.6°C), London (26.4°C), and Fredericton (27.1°C).


Figure 1. The intensity and scope of Summer in March is clearly visible in this data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) instrument on the Terra satellite. The map depicts temperatures on March 8 - 15, 2012, compared to the average of the same eight day period of March from 2000-2011. Areas with warmer than average temperatures are shown in red; near-normal temperatures are white; and areas that were cooler than the 2000-2011 base period are blue. These land surface temperatures are distinct from the air temperatures that meteorological stations typically measure, and indicate how hot the surface of the Earth in a particular location would feel to the touch. From a satellite vantage point, the “surface” includes a number of materials that capture and retain heat, such as sand in the desert, the dark roof of a building, or the pavement of a road. As a result, daytime land surface temperature are usually much higher than air temperatures—something that anyone who has walked barefoot across a parking lot on a summer afternoon knows instinctively. Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory.

Summer in March warmth crushes records in Michigan
Yesterday, nearly every major airport in Michigan's Lower Peninsula broke the record they set the previous day for their hottest March temperature, including Detroit (84°), Flint (86°F, just 2° below their all-time April record), Saginaw (87°F, just 2° below their all-time April record), Grand Rapids (87°), Muskegon (82°), Lansing (86°), Alpena (87°), Gaylord (83°, which was 26° above the average high for the date), Pellston (85°), Houghton Lake (85°), and Traverse City (87°, which was which was 45°F above the average high for the date, and was the fifth consecutive day they tied or broke their record for hottest March temperature, and just 3° below their record high temperature of 90° for April.) In Michigan's Upper Peninsula, Sault Ste. Marie's 83° (26° above the average high for the date) crushed the previous March record by 8°, and was only 2° shy of the warmest temperature ever measured in April. Cities in states neighboring Michigan that broke all-time March records for warmth yesterday included:

Indiana:
Fort Wayne (87°) and South Bend (86°)

Ohio:
Columbus (85°), Toledo (85°), Cleveland (83°), and Mansfield (82°)

Wisconsin:
Milwaukee (84°), Madison (83°), and Green Bay (82°). The NWS office in Madison notes that in July of 2009, Madison only had seven days of 80 degree temperatures, and the highest temperature for the whole month was 82. This March, Madison has had five days of 80 degree temperatures, with a high temperature for the month of 83. Prior to this year, there had been only five March 80°F+ days in Madison's history, going back to 1869.

Record March warmth continues in the Northeast U.S.
For the second consecutive day, temperatures across much of Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine yesterday were the warmest on record for so early in the year. Hottest March temperatures on record occurred at Bangor, Maine (83°F), Houlton, Maine (79°F), Caribou, Maine (75°), Mount Washington, New Hampshire (54°F), and Buffalo, NY (82°).


Figure 2. The jet stream pattern features a large, southwards dipping bulge over the Western U.S., creating a trough of low pressure with cold and snow, and a large, northwards looping bulge over the Central U.S., creating a record-strength ridge of high pressure. The Western U.S. trough has cut off into a "cut-off low" that is slowly drifting eastwards.

Remarkable late-season snow storm on West Coast
The convoluted jet stream pattern that brought Summer in March conditions to the Eastern U.S. and Canada is also bringing record snows to Oregon. Eugene, Oregon picked up 7.5 inches of snow yesterday, the largest snowstorm this late in the year on record. The previous record was a 7.6" snow storm on March 5 - 7, 1951. Snow amounts as high as 32" have been recorded in the Oregon Cascades over the past few days. A loop in the jet stream has created a large upper-level ridge of high pressure that is stuck in place over the Eastern U.S., and large upper-level trough of low pressure over the Western U.S. Since the jet stream acts as the boundary between cold air to the north and warm air to the south, and the large loop in the jet places its axis far to the north of the eastern U.S., summer-like warmth has developed over the eastern half of the U.S. Conversely, colder than average temperatures have developed over the western third of the U.S. behind the southwards-dipping loop of the jet stream. This jet stream pattern was too extreme to be stable, and the big loop over the Western U.S. has broken off to form a giant eddy. The resulting area of low pressure is known as a "cut-off low", because it is cut off from the jet stream. The cut-off low is drifting slowly eastwards, and will bring an end to "Summer in March" over the Eastern half of the U.S. by Friday.

Jeff Masters
Warm Looking Sunrise (Ralfo)
Warm Looking Sunrise
March? (visionaire)
Spring has sprung too early--flowering seems like April or May. Temperatures like June! Japanese Gardens, St. Louis, Missouri.
March?
Categories: Heat Winter Weather
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51. Dragod66 3:18 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting SteveDa1:
-At Saint-John, NB it was 3C at 8:00am local and now its 22C at noon. The forecast called for a high of 15C...

-Kejimkujik Park in Nova Scotia smashed their extreme temperature record for March and April for the second day in a row. And it's only noon...

-Fredericton, Moncton, Halifax, Saint-Stephen all forecast to hit 28C. Unreal...


never seen this kind of heat in march... im sitting in class wearing shorts and flip flops in march... completly unheard of..
Member Since: August 24, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 470
53. SPLbeater 3:23 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting KeysieLife:
Meanwhile..as most of the country is basking in the sunshine, outside my door...





your welcome to take a visit to NC here and enjoy the sunshine and isolated T-storms!
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
54. Hurricanes4life 3:23 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting Dragod66:


i don't lol the weather is too nice to ski... might snow on monday/sunday tho... good day for a frisbee today for sure eh?


I agree, it is just a shame to those local ski business losing lots of potential $$, big slap in face to end a terrible winter season for them. Someone is gonna hit 30 in the maritimes today, I can just feel it.
Member Since: August 2, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 164
55. Hurricanes4life 3:25 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Does anyone know what, if any noticeable effect this heat wave will have on SST's going up the coast of North America?
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56. Dragod66 3:27 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting Hurricanes4life:


I agree, it is just a shame to those local ski business losing lots of potential $$, big slap in face to end a terrible winter season for them. Someone is gonna hit 30 in the maritimes today, I can just feel it.


yeah if i had to pick i would say Fredericton or St. Steven
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57. SPLbeater 3:27 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    


I suspect that low level instability might climb pretty high today, as the piedmont doesnt have the low cloud bank hangin over like yesterday. Cumulus are abundant!
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
58. SPLbeater 3:30 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    

Low level Lapse Rates

SBCAPE in eastern NC ranging from 1000-1500 j/kg, no cap in place.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
59. SPLbeater 3:32 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting Hurricanes4life:
Does anyone know what, if any noticeable effect this heat wave will have on SST's going up the coast of North America?


Diurnal heating would help the Gulf Stream heat up(the part located south of VA anyway) might end up above average for hurricane season, IMO.
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60. RitaEvac 3:33 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 8953
61. TampaSpin 3:45 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting StormTracker2K:
A moderate to strong one by the end of summer that model shows. This is going to be an interesting hurricane season. Odds are in our favor for us to see an El-Nino this year whether some on here like it or not. Remember though even though we may end up with 10 to 12 storms that doesn't necessarly mean good news for the US as this could be the year we see a major hit the US.




ElNino normally means less storms overall, but with the very warm Gulf of Mexico.....the quick home brewed ones might be the much worst this year. We shall see very soon tho....
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62. SPLbeater 3:47 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
be back l8r guys. got some cool cumulus congestus pictures to upload to WU!
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
63. weathermanwannabe 3:52 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
We will have to wait to see how the season ultimately unfolds in terms of smaller numbers during an El Nino year. The probabilities for a US landfall considerably lower during an El Nino year but that does not mean that the one or two that do make it to the US, or Caribbean, could not have a major impact. Enclosing a short concise blurb as to some of these historical storms and the link to the source below:

Data from 1900-1997 suggest that the chance of two or more hurricanes making landfall anywhere in the continental U.S. during an El Nino year is 28%, compared with 48% at other times and 66% during a La Nina period. The probabilities for at least one major hurricane striking are 23%, 58% and 63%, respectively. It is important to note that an El Nino event does not necessarily mean a season without any major hurricanes. Hurricane Betsy (1965), Hurricane Agnes (1972), and Hurricane Andrew (1992) all occurred during El Nino events and caused $9.7 billion, $10.8 billion, and $40.7 billion of damage, respectively (in 2009 USD).

Nice to note that these type of devastating El Nino storms do not happen that often based upon the percentages.

Link

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64. RitaEvac 3:59 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting RitaEvac:
Here's a met job in Houston if interested


Some of us on this blog could do this, but just don't have the credentials....
Member Since: July 14, 2008 Posts: 1 Comments: 8953
65. MississippiWx 4:00 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
It has been a frog-strangler here in Eastern MS. Headed your way, 'Bama.

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 14 Comments: 8889
66. Dragod66 4:08 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
just about beat the April high of 26.3.... we are sitting at 26.1 right now!
Member Since: August 24, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 470
67. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod) 4:12 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting Cyclone2012:


PP, you preach what I've been screaming on here since last night. However, ''some'' continue to be so damn blindsided by the idea of a possible El Nino screwing up this year's cane season, of which it will NOT do, BTW.

iam more concearn
with the setup of the shower curtain
and how that comes into play
because ever since it come on scene
a few years back
fla has not been touched by a major
hopefully the shower curtain is as strong as ever
this coming season

:)
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 147 Comments: 41318
68. biowizard 4:23 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Is this an ALL-TIME record? Seven instances of the phrase, "all-time record", in a single Wunderground blog entry - I mean, aren't these just "records"? Isn't that what the word, "record", means?

8-)

Brian
Member Since: September 12, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 23
69. LargoFl 4:28 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting KeysieLife:
Meanwhile..as most of the country is basking in the sunshine, outside my door...



nice pics there
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 22513
70. LargoFl 4:31 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
452 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-230300 -
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSB OROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
452 AM EDT THU MAR 22 2012

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE
WINDING DOWN AFTER MIDNIGHT. STORMS WILL PRODUCE CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING AND WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE OF HEAVY RAINFALL THAT MAY
CAUSE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POORLY DRAINED AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AND THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER
AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED.

$$

JOHNSON
Member Since: August 6, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 22513
71. dabirds 4:40 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
65) We're getting a morel sprouter rain up here. Nothing hard, but pretty steady so far. Don't ever remember finding them this early in March before, but it's not a normal Spring by any stretch.
Member Since: August 23, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 505
72. KeysieLife 4:43 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting LargoFl:
nice pics there


A far cry from the 80 degrees I was in with Tampa just weeks ago...I miss FL already. :)

Strange trip...the Keys, to Tampa, to WA state.
Member Since: September 10, 2010 Posts: 2 Comments: 380
73. hydrus 4:46 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting RitaEvac:


Some of us on this blog could do this, but just don't have the credentials....
Look into it, feel its mighty power..
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14682
74. nrtiwlnvragn 4:47 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
NWS having a bad day.....


ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
945 AM MDT THU MAR 22 2011

TO ALL WR FIELD OFFICES
FROM WFO SLC

CORRECTED DATE AND TIME ABOVE IN THE HEADER.

DUE TO A FIRE AT NOAA HQ IN SILVER SPRING, EMAIL AND LDAP SERVICES
ARE IMPACTED. WE WILL BE UNABLE TO MAKE EMAIL ACCOUNT CHANGES AND
EMAIL GROUP CHANGES. THE AI.NEMS.NOAA.GOV WEBPAGE IS OFFLINE SO THE
EMPLOYEES AT YOUR OFFICES WILL BE UNABLE TO MAKE CHANGES TO EMAIL
GROUPS. ALL WEB SERVICES THAT UTLIZE LDAP EAST FOR AUTHENTICATION
WILL BE IMPACTED. IN ADDITION, EMAIL SENT TO GROUP EMAIL ADDRESSES
WILL BE IMPACTED.

INDIVIDUAL GOOGLE EMAIL, CALENDAR, DOC, ETC. ACCOUNTS ARE
UNAFFECTED.

THE MESSAGE OPERATIONS CENTER (MOC) DID NOT GIVE US AN ESTIMATED
TIME OF RESTORATION OF SERVICES BUT AS SOON AS WE HEAR MORE
INFORMATION, WE WILL LET YOU KNOW.

THANKS IN ADVANCE FOR YOUR PATIENCE. IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS,
PLEASE DIRECT THEM TO KARL.FOSTER@NOAA.GOV





ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SALT LAKE CITY UT
1000 AM MDT THU MAR 22 2012

TO ALL WR FIELD OFFICES
FROM WR ROC

OPERATIONAL IMPACTS DUE TO GOES-15 SATELLITE OUTAGE:

APPROXIMATELY 3000 OBSERVATIONN PLATFORM ARE EXPERIENCING OUTAGES AT
THIS TIME. HADS IS THE MAIN SYSTEM IMPACTED BY THE OUTAGE WHICH
INCLUDES FIRE RAWS PLATFORMS AND HYDROMET PLATFORMS SUCH AS RIVER
STAGE AND PRECIPITATION DATA.





SENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGE
NWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS CAMP SPRINGS MD
2210Z WED MAR 21 2012..GOES 15 SATELLITE DATA NOT AVAILABLE..


NESDIS`S SOCC REPORTED THAT GOES-15 WEST DATA IS NOT FLOWING DUE
TO A BAD MOMENTUM UNLOAD STARTING AT 2112Z. GOES-15 WENT INTO A
SUN ACQUISITION MODE AND IS UNABLE TO DO ANY IMAGING. OPERATIONS
PERSONNEL ARE TRYING TO PLACE GOES-13 INTO A FULL DISK IMAGING
MODE...SORRY FOR THE INCONVENIENCE..

Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 12 Comments: 9089
75. ncstorm 4:51 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:

Low level Lapse Rates

SBCAPE in eastern NC ranging from 1000-1500 j/kg, no cap in place.


It looks like saturday is going to be the day for severe weather threat for NC
Member Since: August 19, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 8844
76. SPLbeater 4:55 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting ncstorm:


It looks like saturday is going to be the day for severe weather threat for NC


yup! but i still get excited every day its sunny. lol
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
77. Patrap 4:56 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Swirling Eye o Doom..
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 112968
78. SPLbeater 4:56 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
SO, this is yesterday..



GOin to church, this was some amature thunderstorms.
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
79. SPLbeater 4:57 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
80. Dr. Jeff Masters, Director of Meteorology (Admin)
4:59 PM GMT on March 22, 2012
   
Quoting largeeyes:
Halifax, Nova Scotia hit 25.8°C yesterday, beating their all-time March record of 25.6°, and their all-time April record of 26.3°C, set on April 30, 2004.


wait....what? I sense a typo here....


Ugh, no typo, just an error. Corrected now. Halifax did not beat their April record, sorry for the boo-boo.

Jeff Masters
81. Patrap 4:59 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 112968
82. ScottLincoln 5:00 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting biowizard:
Is this an ALL-TIME record? Seven instances of the phrase, "all-time record", in a single Wunderground blog entry - I mean, aren't these just "records"? Isn't that what the word, "record", means?

8-)

Brian


Daily records vs. monthly (or longer duration) records.

Most of the time, new records are daily records. This event has also set many records which may be referred to as all-time records, which probably refers to all-time monthly records or maybe 12-month/yearly records.
Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 3 Comments: 1784
83. ShenValleyFlyFish 5:01 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

iam more concearn
with the setup of the shower curtain
and how that comes into play
because ever since it come on scene
a few years back
fla has not been touched by a major
hopefully the shower curtain is as strong as ever
this coming season

:)


Is your hurricane emergency kit ready? Don't neglect to include the single most important item.
Member Since: September 9, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4684
84. Tropicsweatherpr 5:07 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
It has been wet today in Puerto Rico with flood advisories popping up thanks to a trough in the area. Is expected to be like this thru Friday so I will keep you informed about flooding news.

Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 67 Comments: 8768
85. hydrus 5:09 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting Patrap:
Swirling Eye o Doom..
No swirling doom in the N.W. Pacific..
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 14682
86. GeorgiaStormz 5:13 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
What in the world is this:



It's like a low that comes out of nowhere and kinda has fronts etc.
Member Since: February 11, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 7525
87. wilsongti45 5:15 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
In the spirit of this record breaking heat:

U.S. security at risk over water

Link

Report by the U.S. intelligence community assessment..
Member Since: February 20, 2012 Posts: 0 Comments: 73
88. biowizard 5:20 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting ScottLincoln:


Daily records vs. monthly (or longer duration) records.

Most of the time, new records are daily records. This event has also set many records which may be referred to as all-time records, which probably refers to all-time monthly records or maybe 12-month/yearly records.

What's a "daily" record when it's at home? Ditto "monthly"? Etc?

Brian
Member Since: September 12, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 23
89. Patrap 5:24 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    


Magnitude 5.2 - OAXACA, MEXICO
2012 March 22 16:46:46 UTC



Earthquake Details

This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.

Magnitude 5.2

Date-Time
Thursday, March 22, 2012 at 16:46:46 UTC
Thursday, March 22, 2012 at 10:46:46 AM at epicenter
Location
16.443°N, 98.300°W
Depth
12.2 km (7.6 miles)
Region
OAXACA, MEXICO
Distances
29 km (18 miles) SSE (154°) from Ometepec, Guerrero, Mexico
33 km (20 miles) WNW (295°) from Pinotepa Nacional, Oaxaca, Mexico
113 km (70 miles) SW (216°) from Tlaxiaco, Oaxaca, Mexico
177 km (110 miles) SE (134°) from Chilpancingo, Guerrero, Mexico
178 km (111 miles) ESE (104°) from Acapulco, Guerrero, Mexico
Location Uncertainty
horizontal +/- 20.9 km (13.0 miles); depth +/- 6.4 km (4.0 miles)
Parameters
NST=282, Nph=285, Dmin=332.8 km, Rmss=0.75 sec, Gp= 94°,
M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=B
Source
Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID
usc0008n9q
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 377 Comments: 112968
91. StormTracker2K 5:25 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting GeorgiaStormz:
What in the world is this:



It's like a low that comes out of nowhere and kinda has fronts etc.


Nope, I've been posting this all week. If you remember you said there is no snow on the models later next week. Well Arctic air is coming down and the long range GFS is showing several snow evnts for the Great lakes & New England. This is going to be a huge shock for those folks up north as they have been so warm lately. Back to winter!

Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
92. Tropicsweatherpr 5:27 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
It has been wet today in Puerto Rico with flood advisories popping up thanks to a trough in the area. Is expected to be like this thru Friday so I will keep you informed about flooding news.



FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1251 PM AST THU MAR 22 2012

PRC043-055-059-075-111-113-121-149-153-221845-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0035.120322T1651Z-120322T1845Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
COAMO PR-GUANICA PR-GUAYANILLA PR-JUANA DIAZ PR-PENUELAS PR-PONCE PR-
SABANA GRANDE PR-VILLALBA PR-YAUCO PR-
1251 PM AST THU MAR 22 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
COAMO...GUANICA...GUAYANILLA...JUANA DIAZ...PENUELAS...PONCE...
SABANA GRANDE...VILLALBA AND YAUCO

* UNTIL 245 PM AST

* AT 1251 PM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH HEAVY RAIN AFFECTING THESE
MUNICIPALITIES. RADAR ESTIMATES SHOWED THAT ONE TO ONE AND ONE-HALF
INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN OVER PARTS OF THE ADVISORY AREA
AND IT CONTINUED TO RAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF AT LEAST ONE INCH
IS EXPECTED THROUGH 245 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1811 6693 1811 6672 1816 6640 1808 6638
1803 6670 1801 6695

$$

EM
------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------
FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
1209 PM AST THU MAR 22 2012

PRC019-021-045-047-101-105-107-135-221915-
/O.NEW.TJSJ.FA.Y.0034.120322T1609Z-120322T1915Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000 Z.OO/
BARRANQUITAS PR-BAYAMON PR-COMERIO PR-COROZAL PR-MOROVIS PR-
NARANJITO PR-OROCOVIS PR-TOA ALTA PR-
1209 PM AST THU MAR 22 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN JUAN HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOOD ADVISORY
FOR THE FOLLOWING MUNICIPALITIES...

IN PUERTO RICO
BARRANQUITAS...BAYAMON...COMERIO...COROZAL...MOROV IS...
NARANJITO...OROCOVIS AND TOA ALTA

* UNTIL 315 PM AST

* AT 1208 PM AST...DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH HEAVY RAIN AFFECTING THESE
MUNICIPALITIES. RADAR ESTIMATES SHOWED THAT ONE TO ONE AND ONE-HALF
INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN OVER PARTS OF THE ADVISORY AREA
AND IT CONTINUED TO RAIN. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF AT LEAST ONE INCH
IS EXPECTED THROUGH 315 PM AST.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 1825 6640 1831 6638 1835 6616 1829 6614
1824 6629

$$

EM
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 67 Comments: 8768
93. ScottLincoln 5:34 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting biowizard:

What's a "daily" record when it's at home? Ditto "monthly"? Etc?

Brian


I dont think I understand what you are asking...?
Member Since: September 28, 2002 Posts: 3 Comments: 1784
94. LRC 5:39 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting wilsongti45:
In the spirit of this record breaking heat:

U.S. security at risk over water

Link

Report by the U.S. intelligence community assessment..

Heard about this problem a while ago.
Link
If goverments and intelligent experts listened to climate specialists more often we wouldn't be in this mess.
Member Since: September 6, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 20
95. SPLbeater 5:42 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting StormTracker2K:


Nope, I've been posting this all week. If you remember you said there is no snow on the models later next week. Well Arctic air is coming down and the long range GFS is showing several snow evnts for the Great lakes & New England. This is going to be a huge shock for those folks up north as they have been so warm lately. Back to winter!



Well keep it away from me, I am enjoying this sunshine, temperatures in the 80's, and isolated thunderstorms to the fullest! :D
Member Since: August 4, 2011 Posts: 43 Comments: 3961
96. ClimateChange 5:46 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Up to 87 degrees at Ypsilanti (Detroit/Willow Run Airport), MI at the top of the hour. That appears to be the warmest ASOS site in the United States today, so far. Wonder if the warmest temperature in the country has ever occurred in Michigan before? I know I've seen it happen in the springtime a few times in Maryland & Virginia, especially around Frederick and Leesburg.
Member Since: September 8, 2011 Posts: 8 Comments: 191
97. StormTracker2K 5:47 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting SPLbeater:


Well keep it away from me, I am enjoying this sunshine, temperatures in the 80's, and isolated thunderstorms to the fullest! :D


If notice on my post that the 540 line dips to NC. It's long range though so I'm sure this will change.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
98. StormTracker2K 5:49 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting ClimateChange:
Up to 87 degrees at Ypsilanti (Detroit/Willow Run Airport), MI at the top of the hour. That appears to be the warmest ASOS site in the United States today, so far. Wonder if the warmest temperature in the country has ever occurred in Michigan before? I know I've seen it happen in the springtime a few times in Maryland & Virginia, especially around Frederick and Leesburg.


It's 86 here in C FL right now but either way 87 in MI is impressive for March.
Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
99. SteveDa1 5:49 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting LRC:

Heard about this problem a while ago.
Link
If goverments and intelligent experts listened to climate specialists more often we wouldn't be in this mess.


In your link:
"It has been said that water will be "the oil of the 21st century," or "liquid gold," and that it will cause wars between nations."


In my opinion, though, once solar energy becomes very cheap due to rapid advances in technology then we can start exploiting the 97.5% of the water that is salted. That will give us a virtually unlimited amount of water. Desalination will be key in the coming decades. Therefore, I think there is little to worry about.

I still strongly believe climate change should be the only and most important problem in our heads right now. Not water, oil and whatnot.
Member Since: October 17, 2006 Posts: 59 Comments: 1057
100. StormTracker2K 5:59 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting SteveDa1:


In your link:
"It has been said that water will be "the oil of the 21st century," or "liquid gold," and that it will cause wars between nations."


In my opinion, though, once solar energy becomes very cheap due to rapid advances in technology then we can start exploiting the 97.5% of the water that is salted. That will give us a virtually unlimited amount of water. Desalination will be key in the coming decades. Therefore, I think there is little to worry about.

I still strongly believe climate change should be the only and most important problem in our heads right now. Not water, oil and whatnot.



Fossil fuels maybe our demise if we don't get a handle on this soon.

Member Since: October 26, 2011 Posts: 0 Comments: 2651
101. Xyrus2000 6:10 PM GMT on March 22, 2012    
Quoting JNCali:


Looks impressive.
Member Since: October 31, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1037

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About JeffMasters
Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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